Tonight is, of course, one of television’s biggest nights. That’s right. It’s time for the Emmys! Tonight’s show, hosted by Jimmy Kimmel, will likely be predictable and filled with television fans raging at the choices. Most of us already raged when the nominations came out and we saw which of our favorite shows got snubbed yet again. I’ll watch with quiet resentment as I think about what shows should be among the nominees.
In the meantime, I’ll try to figure out just what the Emmy voters will be thinking and predict the winners.
Best Comedy Series:
The Big Bang Theory
Curb Your Enthusiasm
Will win: Modern Family is always a safe choice in this category as it tends to win every year. However, I’m sensing an upset this year. Girls would be the super edgy pick, as there is tons of buzz around it. I think Veep is going to sneak in and pull off a win this year.
Should win: Parks and Recreation. Of the Thursday night NBC comedies from last year, Parks and Rec had the strongest season by far. 30 Rock should not even be nominated. It had an incredibly weak season. 30 Rock’s spot should be filled by Parks and Rec, and they should be walking away with the trophy.
Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory)
Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm)
Don Cheadle (House of Lies)
Louis C.K. (Louie)
Alec Baldwin (30 Rock)
Jon Cryer (Two and a Half Men)
Will Win: This is potentially the most unimaginative group of nominees. Alec Baldwin, Larry David, and Jon Cryer can pretty much sit there and read the phone book and the Academy will nominate them for Lead Actor. I’m thinking Jim Parsons will threepeat and take home the trophy again this year.
Should Win: Of these nominees, I’d probably pick Parsons. He is fantastic as Sheldon. A lot of people will argue that Louis C.K. should win. I don’t watch Louie, so I can’t definitively say one way or the other. My pick would be Joel McHale from Community, though.
Lena Dunham (Girls)
Melissa McCarthy (Mike & Molly)
Zooey Deschanel (New Girl)
Edie Falco (Nurse Jackie)
Amy Poehler (Parks and Recreation)
Tina Fey (30 Rock)
Julia Louis-Dreyfuss (Veep)
Will win: If the Academy is leaning toward Girls tonight in the Comedy categories, it’ll be Lena Dunham. If they’re leaning toward Veep, it’ll be Louis-Dreyfuss. Last year, Melissa McCarthy inexplicably won for Mike & Molly. Let’s be honest. She really won for her amazing role in Bridesmaids. I’m sensing it’ll be a win for Dunham.
Should win: Amy Poehler. Leslie Knope is amazing. Parks and Rec is amazing. If there is justice in the world, Poehler will sneak off with a win.
Supporting Actor in a Comedy:
Ed O’Neill (Modern Family)
Jesse Tyler Ferguson (Modern Family)
Ty Burrell (Modern Family)
Eric Stonestreet (Modern Family)
Max Greenfield (New Girl)
Bill Hader (SNL)
Will win: It’ll likely to go to one of the Modern Family guys again this year. I’m thinking Burrell will repeat from last year.
Should win: Max Greenfield. He is absolutely hilarious as Schmidt on New Girl and I’ve loved him since he was Deputy Leo on Veronica Mars.
Supporting Actress in a Comedy:
Mayim Bialik (The Big Bang Theory)
Kathryn Joosten (Desperate Housewives)
Julie Bowen (Modern Family)
Sofia Vergara (Modern Family)
Merritt Wever (Nurse Jackie)
Kristen Wiig (SNL)
Will win: If the Academy is playing it safe again this year, it’ll go to Bowen. If they’re feeling sentimental, it could go to the deceased Joosten or the no-longer-with-SNL Wiig. I’m feeling a posthumous win for Joosten.
Should win: Mayim Bialik. She has been an absolutely wonderful addition to The Big Bang Theory and her portrayal of Amy Farrah-Fowler is freaking hilarious.
Game of Thrones
Will Win: Mad Men. It wins every freaking year. Homeland could pull off a surprise win, but I’m feeling Mad Men here.
Should Win: The only one of these that I actually watch is Mad Men and I really do freaking love it.
Glenn Close (Damages)
Michelle Dockery (Downton Abbey)
Julianna Margulies (The Good Wife)
Kathy Bates (Harry’s Law)
Claire Danes (Homeland)
Elisabeth Moss (Mad Men)
Will Win: It’s probably going to Julianna Margulies again. This category has become hers to lose. Though if the attitude is switching towards Homeland, Danes will walk away with the win.
Should Win: Elisabeth Moss. She is amazing as Peggy and I adore her.
Steve Buscemi (Boardwalk Empire)
Bryan Cranston (Breaking Bad)
Michael C. Hall (Dexter)
Hugh Bonneville (Downton Abbey)
Damian Lewis (Homeland)
Jon Hamm (Mad Men)
Will Win: It would be fantastic if this were going to be Jon Hamm’s year to finally walk away with the trophy. I’m thinking it will probably go to Cranston again, though.
Should Win: Jon Hamm. He’s never won for his portrayal of Don Draper and that is just a crime.
Supporting Actress in a Drama:
Anna Gunn (Breaking Bad)
Maggie Smith (Downton Abbey)
Joanne Froggatt (Downton Abbey)
Archie Panjabi (The Good Wife)
Christine Baranski (The Good Wife)
Christina Hendricks (Mad Men)
Will Win: I’m going to guess Archie Panjabi. She’s probably the safest bet and I don’t sense them feeling imaginative in this category.
Should Win: Christina Hendricks. She is beyond amazing in Mad Men and needs to be rewarded for it.
Supporting Drama Actor:
Aaron Paul (Breaking Bad)
Giancarlo Esposito (Breaking Bad)
Brendan Coyle (Downton Abbey)
Jim Carter (Downton Abbey)
Peter Dinklage (Game of Thrones)
Jared Harris (Mad Men)
Will Win: I think Peter Dinklage will likely win in this category again this year.
Should Win: Jared Harris. His portrayal of Lane was absolutely heartbreaking this year. If there is justice in the world, the trophy will go to him.
Miniseries or Movie:
American Horror Story
Hatfields & McCoys
Hemingway & Gellhorn
Sherlock: A Scandal in Belgravia
Will Win: Once again, it depends how imaginative the Academy is feeling. The safe bet would be either Game Change or Hatfields & McCoys. American Horror Story could sneak out a win. I’m imagining it’ll be Game Change.
Should Win: American Horror Story. It was freaking insane and wonderful.
Connie Britton (American Horror Story)
Julianne Moore (Game Change)
Nicole Kidman (Hemingway & Gellhorn)
Ashley Judd (Missing)
Emma Thompson (The Song of Lunch)
Will Win: I’m guessing Julianne Moore will get it for playing Sarah Palin.
Should Win: Connie Britton. They have to make it up to her for not ever honoring her amazing work on Friday Night Lights.
Woody Harrelson (Game Change)
Kevin Costner (Hatfields & McCoys)
Bill Paxton (Hatfields & McCoys)
Clive Owen (Hemingway & Gellhorn)
Idris Elba (Luther)
Benedict Cumberbatch (Sherlock)
Will Win: I think Costner and Paxton will cancel each other out and Harrelson will walk away with it.
Should Win: I feel like I need to say Cumberbatch just to keep my fellow nerds happy. I’m not a Sherlock fangirl (yet), but it’s supposed to be amazing.
Supporting Actress in a Miniseries:
Frances Conroy (American Horror Story)
Jessica Lange (American Horror Story)
Sarah Paulson (Game Change)
Mare Winningham (Hatfields & McCoys)
Judy Davis (Page Eight)
Will Win & Should Win: There is a reason a good majority of the buzz surrounding American Horror Story is about Jessica Lange. She is freaking fantastic and deserves all the accolades she has been given.
Supporting Actor in a Miniseries:
Dennis O’Hare (American Horror Story)
Ed Harris (Game Change)
Tom Berenger (Hatfields & McCoys)
David Strathairn (Hemingway & Gellhorn)
Martin Freeman (Sherlock)
Will Win: It’ll probably go to Ed Harris for Game Change.
Should Win: O’Hare was really creepy in AHS, but he wasn’t necessarily my favorite. Having not seen the other performances, I’m not going to pick a Should Win for this category.
It goes to The Daily Show every single year. And rightfully so.
I’ll be back at 7:00 to start my liveblog of this year’s Emmys, if anyone wants to join me. It should be a great time!